NDX100 Position Risk Calculator

NDX100 Risk Planner 🇳🇿

Simulate target gains & risks assuming 1 lot = $1 USD point change (0.60 NZD/USD framework)

Account Balance: $100,000 NZD

NDX100 Entry Price: 20,000

Position Size (Lots): 3.81 Lots

Money management

Win Rate: 55%

Reward/Risk: 1/1

Risk per Trade (of current balance): 1% = $1,000 NZD

Take-Profit Target 20,157

Stop-Loss Target 19,843

Profit at Target: $1,000 NZD Loss at Stop: $1,000 NZD

Points to Target: 157 pts Est. Market Move: 0.8%

Total Market Value: $127,000 NZD Effective Leverage: 1:1.27

Edge per Trade: +0.10R (+$100 NZD) Break-even Win Rate: 50.0%

Day vs Swing Simulator 1,000 traders each · 1 year

Uses the win rate, reward/risk, risk % and balance above. Every trade risks that % of the trader's current balance, so wins and losses compound.

Day traders: 5 trades a day Swing traders: 3 trades a week Faint lines: individual traders · Thick lines: the middle (median) trader · Dashed: starting balance

Day traders (1,250 trades)

Middle trader ends with–

Traders in profit–

Unluckiest 5% end below–

Swing traders (156 trades)

Middle trader ends with–

Traders in profit–

Unluckiest 5% end below–

Bad-market trades have no edge: they win just often enough to break even at your reward/risk. Fees are taken as a share of each trade's profit or loss. Emotional trades risk 5× the normal amount with no edge; the video doesn't say how much more, so that part is an assumption.